Some people have made it a habit in
timing the market in order to beat the market average. The human mentality
plays a big role in market-timing. Fear is the main reason why investors try to
time market. Market timing is a situation whereby market speculators buy and
sell shares to make profit within the short run. They buy such shares at very
low prices and sell them at a very high price. When a bill market starts having
bear market tendencies, fear sets in. when such tendencies get pronounce, there
is high adrenaline, and such investors sell their shares, never time market now
supposing the bull market continues, how do you profit from it.
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Forget
Intuition in Investing. Buy with the professionals success in the stock market
requires counter-intuitive thinking. People react to happenings in the stock
market based on their emotions. They do what they intuitively think is right.
People never take advantage of a bull market because they keep investing in
beanish markets and get fed up with the thing. It is a well known fact that
professionals such as fund managers are active in the stock market in opposite
way to the public while the public buy wild over valued shares, the
professionals are selling and when the public are selling professionals are
buying. Professionals buy at the beginning of a bull market one of the public
buy at the end of a bull market is that there are sharp rallies which look like
the beginning of a new bull market. However they fall again and continue going
down. Such rallies are called “Sucker rallies”. Because of this, people abandon
hope in the stock market. Most people who time the market to get in, are always
too late. The best investment strategy is to stay in the market at all times.
When stocks fall 10%, it is called a
correction whereas a bear market is when stocks fall 28% or more. Corrections
atimes result in a beanish market.
One of the worst mistake people make
is market timing, because much money is lost in doing so than in being in the
beanish market.
The easiest solution to combating
bear markets is setting a schedule of buying stocks or mutual funds so that you
put in a small amount of money every month or after quarter etc. this will
remove you from the traumas of bullish and beanish markets.
If you want to be very successful in
your investments, you must be able to view at the entire market vertically by
size or market capitalization of horizontally by industry or market sector.
Atimes, some people are seared of
investing on other peoples business. They do not trust other people with their
money so what they do is they keep their money and continue labouring. Such
money is in my own term “inactive” in that it is already enpended before it
reaches such individual’s (i.e. before they are being paid).
Some people are always too anxious
when they are first talked to about investment. Atimes they invest everything
they earn without leaving part for their day to day expenditures. Such are the
people who are sinking in poverty.
Remember poverty is not being without
money, but being without hope. They do not have hope for their future. They
fail to understand that by investing, they commit themselves to a risk. Study
markets trend wisely before committing to a company’s stock. A company that
pays dividend is of no difference with a company that retains its earnings.
Companies that are labour intensive should be avoided.
Market timing should not be
encouraged but it doesn/t mean when your stocks go far down you shouldn’t
reclaim your money. If you are adamant, you could reap high losses. For the
market timers who may want to still make money in the stock market, there is a
simple rule to follow.
Speculators
I wouldn’t advise you to do what I am
about to write. It is senseless, contradictory and irresponsible of you.
nevertheless, many great people of old have followed its simple rules and have
made a jackpot for themselves. Remember to follow the procedure you feel is
suitable for you. to some people it is the safest way to make quick money in
the market.
Being very reasonable, atimes you’ve
got to out your losses. The secret of making a fortime in your partfolio in the
stock market is not being right at all times but to lose a very little anytime
you’re wrong. You’ve got to recognize your wrongs and sell immediately without
any second thought to cut short your losses. The fact that the price of a stock
in your portfolio has dropped a little doesn’t does not make it worth selling
off. When a stock goes down below tan percent of its purchase value you’ve got
to kiss such goodbye.
Do not be over attracted to your
stocks. Stocks like teachers are derived demands, in that they are demanded not
because of the satisfaction they bring but because of their services which are
directed towards achieving other goals.
Like Napoleon, never hesitate on the
battlefield of wealth. I wrote in one of the previous chapters that you never
really lose until you sell your stocks. This is true but only in cases where
the company in question shows a sign of redress.
Set roles limiting your losses or
invested capital. Ten percent should be a good limit to sell stocks. All stocks
are risky, irrespective of the fact that they are first tier securities or
second tier securities. It is always good to take your losses quickly and your
gains slowly. The ten percent should be below the value for which you bought
such stocks. Some people are seared to sell because they feel their stocks are
good stocks since they are still collecting their dividends. To be very
successful in your portfolio management you must face facts and stop
rationalizing and hoping. No one emotionally loves losses, but to be very
successful you’ve got to get your emotions under control. You must be very
disciplined to excel in the stock market. You are the another of your finances,
never lose courage to take decisions with regards to your finances. It takes
real hardwork to become very knowledgeable at stock selection, for folio
management and taking right decisions regarding your finances.Never try arguing
with the market and don.t let your emotions attach you psychologically to
stocks even when they are failing in their responsibility of making more gains.
The aim of every portfolio is to show
net profits. Atimes, when you are tired of managing a particular stock you’ve
got to sell it and claim your profits. Your major objective is to buy the best
stock with the best earning at the right time .Never buy stocks on tips and
rumours. Most of this so called tips are originated from outsiders (people
outside the stock market )whom have never got an experience in the stock
market.
INITIAL
PUBLIC OFFERS (IPOS)
An initial public offering is a
company’s first offering of stock to the public. The Internet and discount
brokerages has made easier, more accessible and a lot more convenient IPOs to
individual investors. Acquiring IPO is acquiring a non liquid stock. This is
very risky as you may not be able to sell your shares when you really want to:
The best time to purchase an IPO is after it has had its foremost correction.
If an IPO has been trading in the market for two or more months, you have a
valuable data on which to ascertain the situation surrounding such stocks.
CONVERTIBLE BONDS.
A convertible bond is type of bond
which can be exchanged for another category of investment such as common
stocks, at a predetermined price. Convertible bond provides a little higher
income than the common stock to the owner with some of the profits often
associated with common stocks.
Convertible bonds are advantageous in
that investors in them can borrow heavily and obtain more buying power.
Nevertheless, this is also a risk because excessive leverage is dangerous.
INCOME STOCKS
These are stocks that produce high
and regular dividend yields, providing taxable income for such who owns it.
If you wish to opt out with income
stocks, don’t go for those with the highest dividends, doing contrary will
entail entrusting your capital to greater losses. Do not rely on the dividend
received from your investments, because a times companies do cot their
dividends receivable on shares if they have a reduced earning per share. For
the best income program on your stocks,
withdrawing a little percentage of your investment each year could pay off for
your living expenses.
MERGER CANDIDATES
Companies that are about to merge
should be shyed away from. Rumours triggers a sudden rise in price for stocks
of such companies. Whenever such deals are not successful, they is a very steep
decline in price of such stocks of such companies. It is a very risky venture
for one to take. Such should be left to the professionals.
FOREIGN STOCKS
To invest in foreign stocks, a
potential investor must knowledgeable in the general market of the particular
country He must be conversant with the interest rates, currency, government
policy etc. foreign stocks should be left to professionals who are specialized
in such fields. If an individual wants to take the chance, I think it will be
best for him to have a financial advisor from such countries;
OVER THE COUNTER MARKET
This is a market outside the stock
exchange like the Nasdag is to the United States of America. It has no reserved
centralized location where traders and professionals gather. The market is
often termed “off board” or “unlisted” at which buyers and sellers are not
physically present. The market is characterized by direct negotiation between
the parties involved (buyers and sellers). Dealers/Brokers negotiate most
transactions by telephone or computer networks. In the USA, investment such as
bonds do not trade on organized exchange; hence bonds are traded over the
counter. A party interested in bonds calls the banks that make bonds and
request for quotes. Over the counter market involves bilateral negotiation
between counter parties usually carried out via telephone or internet networks.
Over the counter market unlike listed stocks (that) the law expects to make
public their accounts on a quarterly basis) does not oblige their companies to
publish their accounts on a quarterly basis. Nevertheless, OTC are not less
profitable than their counterparts that are listed. OTC stocks are advantageous
over the listed stocks in that auxiliary costs such as the Nigerian Stock
Exchange (NSE) fees securities and exchance commission (SEC) fees, CSCS fees
etc are always passed. OTC on the otherhand has its own disadvantages. Prices
of quoted stocks are visible in that they are always published in the daily
papers while the unquoted stocks are susceptible to the risk of either being
overpriced or underpriced. The market forces (forces of demand and supply) may
not apply strictly because, not marry may even know they can trade the stocks
they are carrying because only limited opportunity exist for trading. Another
risk factor is pricing of such stocks which a times may not be right. Price determination
depends on bargaining powers. There is usually a delay to locate suitable
parties that are even interested in investing in such stocks. The selection of
an OTC stock follows the same criteria as that of quoted companies.
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the
accounts must be scrutinized carefully, sectional/industrial analysis visa vis
the national economy needs to be evaluated alongside the structure of the
company. Future prospects of such companies are very important also after scrutinizing
carefully all these then you can arrive at a decision either to invest or not.
Since these stocks have nocentral trading place, the trader (buyer/seller) has
to make the effort to locate a dealer/broker of such stocks Also, the OTC
stocks to be bought will depend on the recommendation of your broker who would
have carried out the necessary analysis of such stocks. Let us look at an
example of a company trading in this friesland foods Wamco Nigeria Plc,
consolidated Breweries Plc, Ecobank Plc, Eco-Transnational Incorporation.
Friesland foods Wamco Plc is the market leader in this venture more often than
not, returns on investment of OTC stocks are higher that those of their
counterparts which are quoted.
Why should you invest in portfolio?
Everyone has got financial needs
which must one way or the other be met. Some of us wantto be very rich while
others want financial security. To
achieve there, it takes time with great discipline. A major step now is the key
to your financial security tomorrow.
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Set
your investment goals
Be sure of what you really wantto
accomplish. Your goals must be specific and measurable. Your investment goals
are always time oriented and should be classified as short term (0-3 years)
medium term (4 – 6years) or long term (above 6 years).
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Live
within your means
After setting your goals, you should
begin firstly by balancing your budget and live within your income. Avoid
accumulation of debts. Avoid credit cards, they’re a major source of debts.
After purchasing items via credit cards, you pay monthly instalments which
often comes with interest charges and this reduces drastically our future
income stop all credit purchases except in emergencies. This is always a very
tortuous period in a person’s life but it is worth the sacrifice in order to
reach your goals.
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Have
Adequate Insurance cover you need essential insurance such as life, health,
home, motor etc before you start investing.
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Start
an emergency Fund
An emergency fund is the amount of
money you can obtain quickly to meet immediate needs. This should be in a
savings account or a mutual fund. You emergency funds should be able to sustain
you even when you lose your job until you can get another.
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Find
the money you need to start maybe you need to work to gather this money to start
your investment programme. This is normally by saving from your monthly pay,
lump sum payments, obtaining cheap loans e.g. from your employers, etc.
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Set
your priorities
You need decide how earnest want you
want your investment goals. If you want is earnestly, you will be willing to
sacrifice some expenses to finance it.
No one can make you save money to
invest. You have to cultivate the discipline to do it. To get the money to
invest, firstly you must pay yourself at least a tenth of your monthly income.
Elective saving programs is another advantageous was of getting the money –
arrange with your bank and broker or a mutual fund to take a fixed sum of
money automatically from your account
every month and invest it.
The sooner you start up your investment,
the higher your eventual fund growth because of the time valve of money and the
effect of compounding returns.
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